Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.388332 11.864291 13.483099 15.391615 17.581929 20.019109 22.939626
2025-12-21 8.252087 10.150001 12.395373 15.252580 18.799040 23.066062 28.604578
2025-12-28 7.296289 9.459334 12.159983 15.789346 20.555176 26.622065 34.966901
2026-01-04 6.558100 8.877656 11.904849 16.160619 22.015897 29.827542 41.105368
2026-01-11 6.042783 8.493377 11.817395 16.678310 23.645457 33.331888 47.927245
2026-01-18 5.342868 7.760854 11.153479 16.289688 23.921796 34.926754 52.149729
2026-01-25 4.798580 7.182329 10.631687 16.021942 24.300767 36.644890 56.650693
2026-02-01 4.342640 6.681904 10.164578 15.768759 24.643925 38.295365 61.151763
2026-02-08 3.949102 6.234466 9.728216 15.506096 24.922241 39.834144 65.575947
2026-02-15 3.607340 5.833726 9.322973 15.243767 25.156809 41.293593 69.967580
2026-02-22 3.494953 5.787876 9.470709 15.881135 26.905071 45.347457 79.076152
2026-03-01 3.315451 5.613808 9.391061 16.124512 27.998413 48.379715 86.680009
2026-03-08 3.097630 5.359976 9.162447 16.101146 28.642377 50.719950 93.332679
2026-03-15 2.880117 5.088036 8.879615 15.955260 29.050443 52.670411 99.451350
2026-03-22 2.797011 5.044958 8.989336 16.517733 30.786775 57.162323 110.779545
2026-03-29 2.693370 4.955206 9.006370 16.906801 32.226446 61.217046 121.644081
2026-04-05 2.618831 4.912095 9.102827 17.449331 33.999696 66.049605 134.518038
2026-04-12 2.423262 4.625373 8.723264 17.042060 33.875381 67.163265 139.888074
2026-04-19 2.260994 4.389770 8.421989 16.761476 33.974792 68.719906 146.316574
2026-04-26 2.114293 4.173231 8.140711 16.496160 34.078277 70.283969 152.895857
2026-05-03 1.978489 3.968050 7.866155 16.220917 34.134085 71.745343 159.377099
2026-05-10 1.853558 3.775531 7.602511 15.946034 34.164302 73.147481 165.848081
2026-05-17 1.834453 3.798857 7.778302 16.613919 36.286797 79.245351 183.660946